Jangro Premium Ultra Soft Toilet Tissue 2 Ply 40 x 280 Sheets
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 2.6 a day. Sofidel UK needs 16 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 60 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 60 from Sofidel UK.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 41 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £1,138 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs16 daysUses a month77Sales at risk£1,138On the queue13 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
One-off month May 26 ran 163 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 29 on hand less 29 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 0 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 2.57 |
| Lead-time demand | 2.57 a day for 16 days from Sofidel UK | 42 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 18 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 60 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 60 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Sofidel UK ships in cases of 6 | 60 |
Free stock at the depot
Why29 on hand less 29 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits2.57
Lead-time demand
Why2.57 a day for 16 days from Sofidel UKUnits42
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits18
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits60
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits60
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySofidel UK ships in cases of 6Units60
Confidence is 31 per cent because demand varies by 41 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history. Below forty five per cent the engine asks for a manual review rather than a decision.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC East — Brentwood holds 16 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Sofidel UKEngine leads with this
- Order60 units, 10 cases of 6
- ArrivesDay 16
- Cost£979.80, carriage paid
- Terms45 days net · Supplier API
- Supplier record86 per cent on time, 83 per cent in full
- Minimum order£150, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4582 for Sofidel UK at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.