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LiveWatchToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 76 free, which is 17 days of cover against a forecast of 4.4 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 138 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 70 from Selden Research.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 13/09/2026, which is 17 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £209 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out13/09/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month133Sales at risk£209On the queue13 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 93 on hand less 17 already allocated to orders | 76 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 76 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 4.45 |
| Lead-time demand | 4.45 a day for 21 days from Selden Research | 94 |
| Safety stock, class B | Class B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 45 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 138 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 62 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Selden Research ships in cases of 10 | 70 |
Free stock at the depot
Why93 on hand less 17 already allocated to ordersUnits76
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits76
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits4.45
Lead-time demand
Why4.45 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits94
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits45
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits138
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits62
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units70
Confidence is 78 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC East — Brentwood holds 44 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Selden ResearchEngine leads with this
- Order70 units, 7 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 21
- Cost£86.10, carriage paid
- Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
- Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4784 for Selden Research at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.