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Jangro Contract Toilet Roll 2 Ply 320 Sheets x36

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
KRUAC803 · Northwood Hygiene ProductsMSC West — FelthamClass A · confidence 82 per cent, high
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Contract Toilet Roll 2 Ply 320 Sheets x36

MSC West — Feltham holds 114 free, which is 17 days of cover against a forecast of 6.7 a day. Northwood Hygiene Products needs 12 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 128 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 18 from Northwood Hygiene Products.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 13/09/2026, which is 17 days. Northwood Hygiene Products needs 12 days to deliver. That is about £811 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out13/09/2026Supplier needs12 daysUses a month202Sales at risk£811On the queue2 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 48Supplier arrives day 121140todayday 26
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 10 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
56027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot130 on hand less 16 already allocated to orders114
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound114
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded6.73
Lead-time demand6.73 a day for 12 days from Northwood Hygiene Products81
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows48
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock128
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue14
Rounded to the supplier multipleNorthwood Hygiene Products ships in cases of 618
Free stock at the depot
Why130 on hand less 16 already allocated to ordersUnits114
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits114
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits6.73
Lead-time demand
Why6.73 a day for 12 days from Northwood Hygiene ProductsUnits81
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits48
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits128
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits14
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyNorthwood Hygiene Products ships in cases of 6Units18
Confidence is 82 per cent because demand varies by 10 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC East — Brentwood holds 54 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Northwood Hygiene ProductsEngine leads with this
  • Order18 units, 3 cases of 6
  • ArrivesDay 12
  • Cost£119.34 plus £30.00 carriage, under the £500 threshold
  • Terms60 days net · Webhook
  • Supplier record77 per cent on time, 90 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£150, so this line is combined onto the supplier's order rather than shipped alone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4631 for Northwood Hygiene Products at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.