Jangro Coreless Micro Mini Toilet Roll 2 Ply 100m x12
LiveWatchToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 20 free, which is 9 days of cover against a forecast of 2.2 a day. Northwood Hygiene Products needs 12 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 42 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 24 from Northwood Hygiene Products.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 05/09/2026, which is 9 days. Northwood Hygiene Products needs 12 days to deliver. That is about £1,412 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out05/09/2026Supplier needs12 daysUses a month65Sales at risk£1,412On the queue13 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
One-off month Jun 26 fell to 27 per cent of the run rate, one month only. Read as a contract pause, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 45 on hand less 25 already allocated to orders | 20 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 20 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 2.16 |
| Lead-time demand | 2.16 a day for 12 days from Northwood Hygiene Products | 26 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 16 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 42 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 22 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Northwood Hygiene Products ships in cases of 6 | 24 |
Free stock at the depot
Why45 on hand less 25 already allocated to ordersUnits20
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits20
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits2.16
Lead-time demand
Why2.16 a day for 12 days from Northwood Hygiene ProductsUnits26
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits16
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits42
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits22
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyNorthwood Hygiene Products ships in cases of 6Units24
Confidence is 53 per cent because demand varies by 25 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC East — Brentwood holds 96 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Northwood Hygiene ProductsEngine leads with this
- Order24 units, 4 cases of 6
- ArrivesDay 12
- Cost£771.12, carriage paid
- Terms60 days net · Webhook
- Supplier record77 per cent on time, 90 per cent in full
- Minimum order£150, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4631 for Northwood Hygiene Products at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.