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Jangro Heavy Duty Clear Refuse Sacks 7.5x28x38 - Roll of 200

LiveCritical
Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
HPC037 · JPK TRADE SUPPLIESMSC West — FelthamClass A · confidence 78 per cent, medium
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Heavy Duty Clear Refuse Sacks 7.5x28x38 - Roll of 200

MSC West — Feltham holds 2 free, which is 1 days of cover against a forecast of 1.8 a day. JPK TRADE SUPPLIES needs 19 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 48 units. MSC East — Brentwood can release 73 without going short, so move 46 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 28/08/2026, which is 1 days. JPK TRADE SUPPLIES needs 19 days to deliver. That is about £758 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out28/08/2026Supplier needs19 daysUses a month55Sales at risk£758On the queue14 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 13Supplier arrives day 19Out on day 1130todayday 33
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
16027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot14 on hand less 12 already allocated to orders2
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound2
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded1.82
Lead-time demand1.82 a day for 19 days from JPK TRADE SUPPLIES35
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows13
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock48
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue46
Rounded to the supplier multipleJPK TRADE SUPPLIES ships in cases of 100
Free stock at the depot
Why14 on hand less 12 already allocated to ordersUnits2
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits2
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits1.82
Lead-time demand
Why1.82 a day for 19 days from JPK TRADE SUPPLIESUnits35
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits13
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits48
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits46
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyJPK TRADE SUPPLIES ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 78 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
  • Move46 units from MSC East — Brentwood
  • ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
  • Cost£50.86 of handling, nothing bought
  • Cash held back£584
  • Carbon17.7 kg CO2e avoided
  • Safe to release73 units, after MSC East — Brentwood keeps its own cover
Buy from JPK TRADE SUPPLIES
  • Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 19
  • Cost£0.00, carriage paid
  • Terms45 days net · Structured email
  • Supplier record74 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£350, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4494 for JPK TRADE SUPPLIES at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.