Round Bucket 2 Gallon Blue
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 10.1 a day. Scot Young Research needs 7 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 142 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 150 from Scot Young Research.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 71 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £207 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs7 daysUses a month304Sales at risk£207On the queue10 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 10 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Buckets & Wringers runs at 96 per cent of an average month now and 106 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 10 on hand less 10 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 0 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 10.14 |
| Lead-time demand | 10.14 a day for 7 days from Scot Young Research | 71 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 71 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 142 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 142 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Scot Young Research ships in cases of 10 | 150 |
Free stock at the depot
Why10 on hand less 10 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits10.14
Lead-time demand
Why10.14 a day for 7 days from Scot Young ResearchUnits71
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits71
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits142
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits142
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyScot Young Research ships in cases of 10Units150
Confidence is 82 per cent because demand varies by 10 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC East — Brentwood holds 38 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Scot Young ResearchEngine leads with this
- Order150 units, 15 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 7
- Cost£288.00 plus £41.00 carriage, under the £400 threshold
- Terms45 days net · Webhook
- Supplier record88 per cent on time, 85 per cent in full
- Minimum order£250, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4850 for Scot Young Research at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.