Jangro Black Refuse Sacks 18" x 29" x 33" x200
LiveWatchToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 124 free, which is 12 days of cover against a forecast of 10.3 a day. Cromwell Polythene needs 17 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 248 units. MSC East — Brentwood can release 147 without going short, so move 124 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 08/09/2026, which is 12 days. Cromwell Polythene needs 17 days to deliver. That is about £4,116 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out08/09/2026Supplier needs17 daysUses a month310Sales at risk£4,116On the queue9 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 137 on hand less 13 already allocated to orders | 124 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 124 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 10.32 |
| Lead-time demand | 10.32 a day for 17 days from Cromwell Polythene | 176 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 73 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 248 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 124 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Cromwell Polythene ships in cases of 6 | 0 |
Free stock at the depot
Why137 on hand less 13 already allocated to ordersUnits124
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits124
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits10.32
Lead-time demand
Why10.32 a day for 17 days from Cromwell PolytheneUnits176
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits73
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits248
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits124
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyCromwell Polythene ships in cases of 6Units0
Confidence is 78 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
- Move124 units from MSC East — Brentwood
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£187.93 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£1,716
- Carbon75.7 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release147 units, after MSC East — Brentwood keeps its own cover
Buy from Cromwell Polythene
- Order0 units, 0 cases of 6
- ArrivesDay 17
- Cost£0.00 plus £20.00 carriage, under the £250 threshold
- Terms30 days net · EDI
- Supplier record95 per cent on time, 80 per cent in full
- Minimum order£250, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4885 for Cromwell Polythene at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.