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Jangro Premium Supreme Washing Up Liquid 5L

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
COVBB031-5 · MiriusMSC West — FelthamClass A · confidence 80 per cent, high
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Premium Supreme Washing Up Liquid 5L

MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 7.5 a day. Mirius needs 16 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 172 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 180 from Mirius.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 119 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £896 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs16 daysUses a month224Sales at risk£896On the queue9 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 53Supplier arrives day 16Out on day 0530todayday 30
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 12 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
64027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot9 on hand less 9 already allocated to orders0
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound0
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded7.46
Lead-time demand7.46 a day for 16 days from Mirius120
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows53
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock172
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue172
Rounded to the supplier multipleMirius ships in cases of 10180
Free stock at the depot
Why9 on hand less 9 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits7.46
Lead-time demand
Why7.46 a day for 16 days from MiriusUnits120
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits53
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits172
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits172
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyMirius ships in cases of 10Units180
Confidence is 80 per cent because demand varies by 12 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC East — Brentwood holds 110 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from MiriusEngine leads with this
  • Order180 units, 18 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 16
  • Cost£797.40, carriage paid
  • Terms60 days net · EDI
  • Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4167 for Mirius at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.