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Jangro Chlorinated Dishwash Detergent 20 Litre

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COV800-234-0004 · MiriusMSC West — FelthamClass A · confidence 78 per cent, medium
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Chlorinated Dishwash Detergent 20 Litre

MSC West — Feltham holds 188 free with 13 already inbound, which is 18 days of cover against a forecast of 11.4 a day. Mirius needs 16 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 263 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 70 from Mirius.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 12/09/2026, which is 16 days. Mirius needs 16 days to deliver. That is about £4,646 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out12/09/2026Supplier needs16 daysUses a month343Sales at risk£4,646On the queue6 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 80Supplier arrives day 162010todayday 30
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
98027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot198 on hand less 10 already allocated to orders188
Open purchase orders inboundCounted once, never double counted with the depot holding13
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound201
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded11.43
Lead-time demand11.43 a day for 16 days from Mirius183
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows80
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock263
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue62
Rounded to the supplier multipleMirius ships in cases of 1070
Free stock at the depot
Why198 on hand less 10 already allocated to ordersUnits188
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyCounted once, never double counted with the depot holdingUnits13
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits201
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits11.43
Lead-time demand
Why11.43 a day for 16 days from MiriusUnits183
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits80
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits263
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits62
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyMirius ships in cases of 10Units70
Confidence is 78 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC East — Brentwood holds 0 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from MiriusEngine leads with this
  • Order70 units, 7 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 16
  • Cost£1,102.50, carriage paid
  • Terms60 days net · EDI
  • Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4167 for Mirius at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.