DC

Jangro Washing Up Liquid 500ml

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COV025 · MiriusMSC West — FelthamClass B · confidence 81 per cent, high
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Washing Up Liquid 500ml

MSC West — Feltham holds 204 free, which is 19 days of cover against a forecast of 10.9 a day. Mirius needs 16 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 283 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 80 from Mirius.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 15/09/2026, which is 19 days. Mirius needs 16 days to deliver. That is about £282 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out15/09/2026Supplier needs16 daysUses a month326Sales at risk£282On the queue6 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 109Supplier arrives day 162040todayday 33
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 11 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
91027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot230 on hand less 26 already allocated to orders204
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound204
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded10.88
Lead-time demand10.88 a day for 16 days from Mirius174
Safety stock, class BClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows109
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock283
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue79
Rounded to the supplier multipleMirius ships in cases of 1080
Free stock at the depot
Why230 on hand less 26 already allocated to ordersUnits204
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits204
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits10.88
Lead-time demand
Why10.88 a day for 16 days from MiriusUnits174
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits109
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits283
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits79
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyMirius ships in cases of 10Units80
Confidence is 81 per cent because demand varies by 11 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC East — Brentwood holds 60 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from MiriusEngine leads with this
  • Order80 units, 8 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 16
  • Cost£80.00 plus £22.00 carriage, under the £500 threshold
  • Terms60 days net · EDI
  • Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4167 for Mirius at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.