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Jangro 15" Floor Pad Tan

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
CON019 · Scot Young ResearchMSC West — FelthamClass A · confidence 52 per cent, low
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro 15" Floor Pad Tan

MSC West — Feltham holds 4 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 8.9 a day. Scot Young Research needs 7 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 124 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 120 from Scot Young Research.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 27/08/2026, which is 0 days. Scot Young Research needs 7 days to deliver. That is about £301 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs7 daysUses a month266Sales at risk£301On the queue1 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 62Supplier arrives day 7Out on day 0620todayday 21
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
One-off month May 26 ran 94 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
86027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot17 on hand less 13 already allocated to orders4
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound4
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded8.86
Lead-time demand8.86 a day for 7 days from Scot Young Research62
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows62
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock124
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue120
Rounded to the supplier multipleScot Young Research ships in cases of 10120
Free stock at the depot
Why17 on hand less 13 already allocated to ordersUnits4
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits4
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits8.86
Lead-time demand
Why8.86 a day for 7 days from Scot Young ResearchUnits62
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits62
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits124
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits120
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyScot Young Research ships in cases of 10Units120
Confidence is 52 per cent because demand varies by 25 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC East — Brentwood holds 64 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Scot Young ResearchEngine leads with this
  • Order120 units, 12 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 7
  • Cost£367.20 plus £41.00 carriage, under the £400 threshold
  • Terms45 days net · Webhook
  • Supplier record88 per cent on time, 85 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£250, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4850 for Scot Young Research at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.