Jangro NTRL Organic Descaler 5L
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 4.2 a day. Bio Hygiene needs 3 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 42 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 50 from Bio Hygiene.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 13 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £185 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs3 daysUses a month125Sales at risk£185On the queue10 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
One-off month Apr 26 fell to 27 per cent of the run rate, one month only. Read as a contract pause, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
NTRL Eco runs at 96 per cent of an average month now and 104 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 10 on hand less 10 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 0 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 4.18 |
| Lead-time demand | 4.18 a day for 3 days from Bio Hygiene | 13 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 30 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 42 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 42 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Bio Hygiene ships in cases of 10 | 50 |
Free stock at the depot
Why10 on hand less 10 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits4.18
Lead-time demand
Why4.18 a day for 3 days from Bio HygieneUnits13
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits30
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits42
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits42
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyBio Hygiene ships in cases of 10Units50
Confidence is 52 per cent because demand varies by 25 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC East — Brentwood holds 60 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Bio HygieneEngine leads with this
- Order50 units, 5 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 3
- Cost£487.50, carriage paid
- Terms60 days net · CSV drop
- Supplier record79 per cent on time, 96 per cent in full
- Minimum order£250, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4527 for Bio Hygiene at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.