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Jangro Contract Toilet Cleaner 1L

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BIO043 · Selden ResearchMSC West — FelthamClass B · confidence 77 per cent, medium
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Contract Toilet Cleaner 1L

MSC West — Feltham holds 212 free, which is 26 days of cover against a forecast of 8.2 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 256 units. MSC East — Brentwood can release 144 without going short, so move 44 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.

Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 22/09/2026, which is 26 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £320 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out22/09/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month247Sales at risk£320On the queue8 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 83Supplier arrives day 212120todayday 38
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 14 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
72027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot232 on hand less 20 already allocated to orders212
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound212
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded8.23
Lead-time demand8.23 a day for 21 days from Selden Research173
Safety stock, class BClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows83
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock256
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue44
Rounded to the supplier multipleSelden Research ships in cases of 100
Free stock at the depot
Why232 on hand less 20 already allocated to ordersUnits212
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits212
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits8.23
Lead-time demand
Why8.23 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits173
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits83
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits256
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits44
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 77 per cent because demand varies by 14 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
  • Move44 units from MSC East — Brentwood
  • ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
  • Cost£21.70 of handling, nothing bought
  • Cash held back£52
  • Carbon5.4 kg CO2e avoided
  • Safe to release144 units, after MSC East — Brentwood keeps its own cover
Buy from Selden Research
  • Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 21
  • Cost£0.00, carriage paid
  • Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
  • Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4784 for Selden Research at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.