Portwest Traffic Jacket Yellow
LivePlannedWhat the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC West — Feltham holds 26 free, which is 15 days of cover against a forecast of 1.7 a day. MSC Shop needs 6 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 28 units. MSC East — Brentwood can release 53 without going short, so move 2 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.
Do nothing and MSC West — Feltham runs out on 11/09/2026, which is 15 days. MSC Shop needs 6 days to deliver. That is about £104 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out11/09/2026Supplier needs6 daysUses a month52Sales at risk£104On the queue5 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC West — Feltham
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
PPE runs at 90 per cent of an average month now and 106 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 37 on hand less 11 already allocated to orders | 26 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 26 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 1.73 |
| Lead-time demand | 1.73 a day for 6 days from MSC Shop | 11 |
| Safety stock, class B | Class B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 18 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 28 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 2 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | MSC Shop ships in cases of 10 | 0 |
Free stock at the depot
Why37 on hand less 11 already allocated to ordersUnits26
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits26
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits1.73
Lead-time demand
Why1.73 a day for 6 days from MSC ShopUnits11
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits18
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits28
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits2
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyMSC Shop ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 78 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
- Move2 units from MSC East — Brentwood
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£9.26 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£12
- Carbon0.1 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release53 units, after MSC East — Brentwood keeps its own cover
Buy from MSC Shop
- Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 6
- Cost£0.00 plus £22.00 carriage, under the £500 threshold
- Terms60 days net · EDI
- Supplier record93 per cent on time, 82 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4159 for MSC Shop at MSC West — Feltham, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.