DC

Jangro Blast Aerosol Summer Flowers 750ml

LiveCritical
Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
SOL011 · Selden ResearchMSC East — BrentwoodClass A · confidence 40 per cent, manual review
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Blast Aerosol Summer Flowers 750ml

MSC East — Brentwood holds 74 free, which is 9 days of cover against a forecast of 8.0 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 224 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 150 from Selden Research.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 05/09/2026, which is 9 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £1,006 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out05/09/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month239Sales at risk£1,006On the queue5 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 56Supplier arrives day 21Out on day 9740todayday 35
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
One-off month May 26 ran 132 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
85027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot77 on hand less 3 already allocated to orders74
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound74
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded7.98
Lead-time demand7.98 a day for 21 days from Selden Research168
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows56
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock224
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue150
Rounded to the supplier multipleSelden Research ships in cases of 10150
Free stock at the depot
Why77 on hand less 3 already allocated to ordersUnits74
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits74
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits7.98
Lead-time demand
Why7.98 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits168
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits56
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits224
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits150
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units150
Confidence is 40 per cent because demand varies by 34 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history. Below forty five per cent the engine asks for a manual review rather than a decision.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 34 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Selden ResearchEngine leads with this
  • Order150 units, 15 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 21
  • Cost£513.00, carriage paid
  • Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
  • Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4890 for Selden Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.