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LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 10 free, which is 1 days of cover against a forecast of 8.7 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 244 units. MSC West — Feltham can release 23, so move 23 first and buy the remaining 220 from Selden Research.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 28/08/2026, which is 1 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £416 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out28/08/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month261Sales at risk£416On the queue8 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 9 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 16 on hand less 6 already allocated to orders | 10 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 10 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 8.70 |
| Lead-time demand | 8.70 a day for 21 days from Selden Research | 183 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 61 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 244 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 234 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Selden Research ships in cases of 10 | 220 |
Free stock at the depot
Why16 on hand less 6 already allocated to ordersUnits10
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits10
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits8.70
Lead-time demand
Why8.70 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits183
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits61
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits244
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits234
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units220
Confidence is 85 per cent because demand varies by 9 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
- Move23 units from MSC West — Feltham
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£11.45 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£35
- Carbon1 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release23 units, after MSC West — Feltham keeps its own cover
Buy from Selden ResearchEngine leads with this
- Order220 units, 22 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 21
- Cost£330.00, carriage paid
- Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
- Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4890 for Selden Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.