Numatic PRP180 ReFlo Vacuum
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 0.3 a day. Numatic needs 8 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 5 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 5 from Numatic.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 2 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £366 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs8 daysUses a month9Sales at risk£366On the queue1 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 18 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Machines runs at 94 per cent of an average month now and 106 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 1 on hand less 1 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 0 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 0.29 |
| Lead-time demand | 0.29 a day for 8 days from Numatic | 3 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 2 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 5 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 5 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Numatic ships in cases of 1 | 5 |
Free stock at the depot
Why1 on hand less 1 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits0.29
Lead-time demand
Why0.29 a day for 8 days from NumaticUnits3
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits2
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits5
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits5
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyNumatic ships in cases of 1Units5
Confidence is 71 per cent because demand varies by 18 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC West — Feltham holds 2 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from NumaticEngine leads with this
- Order5 units, 5 cases of 1
- ArrivesDay 8
- Cost£624.00, carriage paid
- Terms60 days net · CSV drop
- Supplier record95 per cent on time, 96 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4401 for Numatic at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.