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Round Bucket 2 Gallon Blue

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
GER081 · Scot Young ResearchMSC East — BrentwoodClass A · confidence 85 per cent, high
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Round Bucket 2 Gallon Blue

MSC East — Brentwood holds 38 free, which is 6 days of cover against a forecast of 6.4 a day. Scot Young Research needs 7 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 89 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 60 from Scot Young Research.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 02/09/2026, which is 6 days. Scot Young Research needs 7 days to deliver. That is about £129 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out02/09/2026Supplier needs7 daysUses a month191Sales at risk£129On the queue0 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 45Supplier arrives day 7Out on day 6450todayday 21
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 8 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
50027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Buckets & Wringers runs at 96 per cent of an average month now and 106 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot40 on hand less 2 already allocated to orders38
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound38
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded6.36
Lead-time demand6.36 a day for 7 days from Scot Young Research45
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows45
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock89
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue51
Rounded to the supplier multipleScot Young Research ships in cases of 1060
Free stock at the depot
Why40 on hand less 2 already allocated to ordersUnits38
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits38
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits6.36
Lead-time demand
Why6.36 a day for 7 days from Scot Young ResearchUnits45
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits45
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits89
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits51
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyScot Young Research ships in cases of 10Units60
Confidence is 85 per cent because demand varies by 8 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Scot Young ResearchEngine leads with this
  • Order60 units, 6 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 7
  • Cost£115.20 plus £41.00 carriage, under the £400 threshold
  • Terms45 days net · Webhook
  • Supplier record88 per cent on time, 85 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£250, so this line is combined onto the supplier's order rather than shipped alone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4512 for Scot Young Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.