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Jangro Alcohol Hand Gel 1L x6

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
EVA163 · Evans VanodineMSC East — BrentwoodClass A · confidence 61 per cent, low
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Alcohol Hand Gel 1L x6

MSC East — Brentwood holds 184 free, which is 19 days of cover against a forecast of 9.6 a day. Evans Vanodine needs 14 days on the assumed lead time, none is on record and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 202 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 18 from Evans Vanodine.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 15/09/2026, which is 19 days. Evans Vanodine needs 14 days to deliver. That is about £10,584 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out15/09/2026Supplier needs14 daysUses a month288Sales at risk£10,584On the queue11 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 68Supplier arrives day 141840todayday 28
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 13 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
83027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot211 on hand less 27 already allocated to orders184
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound184
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded9.59
Lead-time demand9.59 a day for 14 days from Evans Vanodine, assumed because no lead time is on record135
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows68
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock202
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue18
Rounded to the supplier multipleEvans Vanodine ships in cases of 618
Free stock at the depot
Why211 on hand less 27 already allocated to ordersUnits184
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits184
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits9.59
Lead-time demand
Why9.59 a day for 14 days from Evans Vanodine, assumed because no lead time is on recordUnits135
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits68
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits202
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits18
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyEvans Vanodine ships in cases of 6Units18
Confidence is 61 per cent because demand varies by 13 per cent month to month and the supplier record carries no lead time so fourteen days was assumed.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 30 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Evans VanodineEngine leads with this
  • Order18 units, 3 cases of 6
  • ArrivesDay 14, assumed, no lead time on record
  • Cost£780.48, carriage paid
  • Terms60 days net · Structured email
  • Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£150, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4865 for Evans Vanodine at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.