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Jangro Alcohol Hand Gel Rub 500ml

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EVA080 · Evans VanodineMSC East — BrentwoodClass A · confidence 68 per cent, medium
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Alcohol Hand Gel Rub 500ml

MSC East — Brentwood holds 64 free, which is 14 days of cover against a forecast of 4.6 a day. Evans Vanodine needs 14 days on the assumed lead time, none is on record and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 96 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 40 from Evans Vanodine.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 10/09/2026, which is 14 days. Evans Vanodine needs 14 days to deliver. That is about £525 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out10/09/2026Supplier needs14 daysUses a month137Sales at risk£525On the queue11 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 32Supplier arrives day 14640todayday 28
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 9 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
37027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot83 on hand less 19 already allocated to orders64
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound64
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded4.57
Lead-time demand4.57 a day for 14 days from Evans Vanodine, assumed because no lead time is on record64
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows32
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock96
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue32
Rounded to the supplier multipleEvans Vanodine ships in cases of 1040
Free stock at the depot
Why83 on hand less 19 already allocated to ordersUnits64
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits64
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits4.57
Lead-time demand
Why4.57 a day for 14 days from Evans Vanodine, assumed because no lead time is on recordUnits64
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits32
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits96
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits32
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyEvans Vanodine ships in cases of 10Units40
Confidence is 68 per cent because demand varies by 9 per cent month to month and the supplier record carries no lead time so fourteen days was assumed.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 0 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Evans VanodineEngine leads with this
  • Order40 units, 4 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 14, assumed, no lead time on record
  • Cost£180.80 plus £22.00 carriage, under the £500 threshold
  • Terms60 days net · Structured email
  • Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£150, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4865 for Evans Vanodine at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.