Jangro Pearlised Soap 5L
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 0 free with 19 already inbound, which is 4 days of cover against a forecast of 5.4 a day. CLOVER CHEMICALS needs 14 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 114 units. MSC West — Feltham can release 66, so move 66 first and buy the remaining 30 from CLOVER CHEMICALS.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 76 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £931 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs14 daysUses a month162Sales at risk£931On the queue8 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 8 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Washroom & Paper runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 112 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 0 on hand less 0 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Counted once, never double counted with the depot holding | 19 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 19 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 5.39 |
| Lead-time demand | 5.39 a day for 14 days from CLOVER CHEMICALS | 76 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 38 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 114 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 95 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | CLOVER CHEMICALS ships in cases of 10 | 30 |
Free stock at the depot
Why0 on hand less 0 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyCounted once, never double counted with the depot holdingUnits19
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits19
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits5.39
Lead-time demand
Why5.39 a day for 14 days from CLOVER CHEMICALSUnits76
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits38
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits114
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits95
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyCLOVER CHEMICALS ships in cases of 10Units30
Confidence is 85 per cent because demand varies by 8 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
- Move66 units from MSC West — Feltham
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£100.29 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£504
- Carbon38.6 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release66 units, after MSC West — Feltham keeps its own cover
Buy from CLOVER CHEMICALSEngine leads with this
- Order30 units, 3 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 14
- Cost£229.20, carriage paid
- Terms45 days net · EDI
- Supplier record90 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4548 for CLOVER CHEMICALS at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.