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LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 36 free, which is 4 days of cover against a forecast of 8.8 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 272 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 240 from Selden Research.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 31/08/2026, which is 4 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £304 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out31/08/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month263Sales at risk£304On the queue1 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
One-off month Jun 26 ran 166 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 41 on hand less 5 already allocated to orders | 36 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 36 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 8.77 |
| Lead-time demand | 8.77 a day for 21 days from Selden Research | 185 |
| Safety stock, class B | Class B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 88 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 272 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 236 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Selden Research ships in cases of 10 | 240 |
Free stock at the depot
Why41 on hand less 5 already allocated to ordersUnits36
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits36
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits8.77
Lead-time demand
Why8.77 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits185
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits88
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits272
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits236
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units240
Confidence is 31 per cent because demand varies by 41 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history. Below forty five per cent the engine asks for a manual review rather than a decision.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot
MSC West — Feltham holds 70 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.
Buy from Selden ResearchEngine leads with this
- Order240 units, 24 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 21
- Cost£242.40, carriage paid
- Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
- Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4890 for Selden Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.