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Jangro Pine Disinfectant 5L - Multi-Surface Cleaner & Deodoriser

LiveWatch
Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
COV008 · Selden ResearchMSC East — BrentwoodClass B · confidence 31 per cent, manual review
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro Pine Disinfectant 5L - Multi-Surface Cleaner & Deodoriser

MSC East — Brentwood holds 40 free with 8 already inbound, which is 17 days of cover against a forecast of 2.8 a day. Selden Research needs 21 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 89 units. MSC West — Feltham can release 77 without going short, so move 41 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 10/09/2026, which is 14 days. Selden Research needs 21 days to deliver. That is about £199 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out10/09/2026Supplier needs21 daysUses a month85Sales at risk£199On the queue9 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 29Supplier arrives day 21Out on day 14480todayday 38
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
One-off month May 26 ran 219 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
34027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot65 on hand less 25 already allocated to orders40
Open purchase orders inboundCounted once, never double counted with the depot holding8
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound48
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded2.84
Lead-time demand2.84 a day for 21 days from Selden Research60
Safety stock, class BClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows29
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock89
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue41
Rounded to the supplier multipleSelden Research ships in cases of 100
Free stock at the depot
Why65 on hand less 25 already allocated to ordersUnits40
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyCounted once, never double counted with the depot holdingUnits8
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits48
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits2.84
Lead-time demand
Why2.84 a day for 21 days from Selden ResearchUnits60
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits29
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits89
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits41
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhySelden Research ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 31 per cent because demand varies by 52 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history. Below forty five per cent the engine asks for a manual review rather than a decision.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
  • Move41 units from MSC West — Feltham
  • ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
  • Cost£65.55 of handling, nothing bought
  • Cash held back£78
  • Carbon23.9 kg CO2e avoided
  • Safe to release77 units, after MSC West — Feltham keeps its own cover
Buy from Selden Research
  • Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 21
  • Cost£0.00, carriage paid
  • Terms30 days, 2 per cent early · Structured email
  • Supplier record94 per cent on time, 79 per cent in full
  • Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4890 for Selden Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.