Jangro Thick Bleach 5L
LivePlannedWhat the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 62 free, which is 20 days of cover against a forecast of 3.1 a day. Mirius needs 16 days and class B carries 10 days of safety stock, so the target position is 82 units. MSC West — Feltham can release 23 without going short, so move 20 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 16/09/2026, which is 20 days. Mirius needs 16 days to deliver. That is about £233 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out16/09/2026Supplier needs16 daysUses a month94Sales at risk£233On the queue13 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 11 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 69 on hand less 7 already allocated to orders | 62 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 62 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 3.13 |
| Lead-time demand | 3.13 a day for 16 days from Mirius | 50 |
| Safety stock, class B | Class B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 32 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 82 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 20 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Mirius ships in cases of 10 | 0 |
Free stock at the depot
Why69 on hand less 7 already allocated to ordersUnits62
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits62
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits3.13
Lead-time demand
Why3.13 a day for 16 days from MiriusUnits50
Safety stock, class B
WhyClass B carries 10 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits32
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits82
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits20
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyMirius ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 82 per cent because demand varies by 11 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
- Move20 units from MSC West — Feltham
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£38.38 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£53
- Carbon12.4 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release23 units, after MSC West — Feltham keeps its own cover
Buy from Mirius
- Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 16
- Cost£0.00 plus £22.00 carriage, under the £500 threshold
- Terms60 days net · EDI
- Supplier record85 per cent on time, 86 per cent in full
- Minimum orderNone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4325 for Mirius at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.