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Jangro 15" Floor Pad Tan

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Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
CON019 · Scot Young ResearchMSC East — BrentwoodClass A · confidence 76 per cent, medium
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
Jangro 15" Floor Pad Tan

MSC East — Brentwood holds 64 free, which is 11 days of cover against a forecast of 5.8 a day. Scot Young Research needs 7 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 81 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 20 from Scot Young Research.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood runs out on 07/09/2026, which is 11 days. Scot Young Research needs 7 days to deliver. That is about £195 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out07/09/2026Supplier needs7 daysUses a month173Sales at risk£195On the queue11 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 41Supplier arrives day 7640todayday 21
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 14 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
50027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Janitorial runs at 93 per cent of an average month now and 109 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot83 on hand less 19 already allocated to orders64
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound64
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded5.75
Lead-time demand5.75 a day for 7 days from Scot Young Research41
Safety stock, class AClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows41
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock81
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue17
Rounded to the supplier multipleScot Young Research ships in cases of 1020
Free stock at the depot
Why83 on hand less 19 already allocated to ordersUnits64
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits64
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits5.75
Lead-time demand
Why5.75 a day for 7 days from Scot Young ResearchUnits41
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits41
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits81
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits17
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyScot Young Research ships in cases of 10Units20
Confidence is 76 per cent because demand varies by 14 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 4 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Scot Young ResearchEngine leads with this
  • Order20 units, 2 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 7
  • Cost£61.20 plus £41.00 carriage, under the £400 threshold
  • Terms45 days net · Webhook
  • Supplier record88 per cent on time, 85 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£250, so this line is combined onto the supplier's order rather than shipped alone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4512 for Scot Young Research at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.