Jangro NTRL Surface Sanitiser Fragranced 5L
LiveCriticalToday: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
MSC East — Brentwood holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 1.8 a day. Bio Hygiene needs 3 days and class A carries 7 days of safety stock, so the target position is 18 units. MSC West — Feltham can release 112 without going short, so move 18 on tomorrow's trunk run and buy nothing.
Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 5 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £331 of sales at risk on this line alone.
Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs3 daysUses a month53Sales at risk£331On the queue11 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
No one-off month found in the last year. Variability is 10 per cent of the mean, which is what sets the confidence on this line.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
NTRL Eco runs at 96 per cent of an average month now and 104 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
| Step | Why | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Free stock at the depot | 19 on hand less 19 already allocated to orders | 0 |
| Open purchase orders inbound | Nothing on the water | 0 |
| Position the engine works from | Free stock plus what is already inbound | 0 |
| Forecast demand a day | Eight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded | 1.75 |
| Lead-time demand | 1.75 a day for 3 days from Bio Hygiene | 6 |
| Safety stock, class A | Class A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line shows | 13 |
| Target position | Lead-time demand plus safety stock | 18 |
| Shortfall | Target position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue | 18 |
| Rounded to the supplier multiple | Bio Hygiene ships in cases of 10 | 0 |
Free stock at the depot
Why19 on hand less 19 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits1.75
Lead-time demand
Why1.75 a day for 3 days from Bio HygieneUnits6
Safety stock, class A
WhyClass A carries 7 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits13
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits18
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits18
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyBio Hygiene ships in cases of 10Units0
Confidence is 83 per cent because demand varies by 10 per cent month to month.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depotEngine leads with this
- Move18 units from MSC West — Feltham
- ArrivesNext day, on the trunk run
- Cost£33.57 of handling, nothing bought
- Cash held back£714
- Carbon10.4 kg CO2e avoided
- Safe to release112 units, after MSC West — Feltham keeps its own cover
Buy from Bio Hygiene
- Order0 units, 0 cases of 10
- ArrivesDay 3
- Cost£0.00 plus £34.00 carriage, under the £250 threshold
- Terms60 days net · CSV drop
- Supplier record79 per cent on time, 96 per cent in full
- Minimum order£250, met
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4365 for Bio Hygiene at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.
Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.