DC

BioHygiene Organic Acid Descaler 1L

LiveCritical
Today: NETSTOCK, hand-keyed into BC
BH010 · Bio HygieneMSC East — BrentwoodClass C · confidence 53 per cent, low
Replaces: a NETSTOCK spreadsheet row with no working shown
What the engine saysPlain English first, the arithmetic underneath
BioHygiene Organic Acid Descaler 1L

MSC East — Brentwood holds 0 free, which is under a day of cover against a forecast of 0.8 a day. Bio Hygiene needs 3 days and class C carries 14 days of safety stock, so the target position is 15 units. Neither depot has spare cover, so buy 20 from Bio Hygiene.

Do nothing and MSC East — Brentwood is already out, so every order for this line goes short until something arrives. That is about 3 units of demand across the lead time. That is about £10 of sales at risk on this line alone.

Runs out27/08/2026Supplier needs3 daysUses a month25Sales at risk£10On the queue4 daysConfidence
Every figure on this page is the one the order will carry. Accepting the line copies none of it by hand.
Cover against lead timeFree stock running down, day by day
Safety stock 12Supplier arrives day 3Out on day 0120todayday 24
The blue line is free stock falling at the forecast rate. The dashed marker is the earliest a supplier delivery could land. Where the line reaches zero first, the depot is short and no amount of ordering on the day it happens will fix it.
Twelve months of demandMSC East — Brentwood
AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul
One-off month Jun 26 ran 91 per cent above the run rate, one month only. Read as a site mobilisation, excluded from the forecast.
Eight weeks aheadForecast inside its confidence band
8027 Aug10 Sep24 Sep8 Oct
Bio Hazard runs at 92 per cent of an average month now and 106 per cent next month, which the forecast already carries.
The calculationEvery figure the engine used, in the order it used it
StepWhyUnits
Free stock at the depot12 on hand less 12 already allocated to orders0
Open purchase orders inboundNothing on the water0
Position the engine works fromFree stock plus what is already inbound0
Forecast demand a dayEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excluded0.84
Lead-time demand0.84 a day for 3 days from Bio Hygiene3
Safety stock, class CClass C carries 14 days of cover for the variability this line shows12
Target positionLead-time demand plus safety stock15
ShortfallTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queue15
Rounded to the supplier multipleBio Hygiene ships in cases of 1020
Free stock at the depot
Why12 on hand less 12 already allocated to ordersUnits0
Open purchase orders inbound
WhyNothing on the waterUnits0
Position the engine works from
WhyFree stock plus what is already inboundUnits0
Forecast demand a day
WhyEight weeks ahead, seasonally shaped, one-off months excludedUnits0.84
Lead-time demand
Why0.84 a day for 3 days from Bio HygieneUnits3
Safety stock, class C
WhyClass C carries 14 days of cover for the variability this line showsUnits12
Target position
WhyLead-time demand plus safety stockUnits15
Shortfall
WhyTarget position less the position now, which is why this line is on the queueUnits15
Rounded to the supplier multiple
WhyBio Hygiene ships in cases of 10Units20
Confidence is 53 per cent because demand varies by 25 per cent month to month and a one-off month sits in the history.
Buy or transferTransfers are weighed before purchases, every time
Transfer from the other depot

MSC West — Feltham holds 68 free and needs all of it for its own cover, so there is nothing to move.

Buy from Bio HygieneEngine leads with this
  • Order20 units, 2 cases of 10
  • ArrivesDay 3
  • Cost£47.40 plus £34.00 carriage, under the £250 threshold
  • Terms60 days net · CSV drop
  • Supplier record79 per cent on time, 96 per cent in full
  • Minimum order£250, so this line is combined onto the supplier's order rather than shipped alone
Fulfil elsewhere and substitute are the other two options in the client's scope. They are named here and not yet built, because a substitution rule needs their own product data to be honest.
Your decisionThe engine recommends, you decide and the reason is kept
Accepting puts these units on PO-4365 for Bio Hygiene at MSC East — Brentwood, carrying the figures above. Nothing reaches the supplier until a person sends it.

Products, suppliers, prices and case multiples are MSC's real range. Demand history, lead times and supplier terms are derived for the demo, deterministically, so the figures never move between screens.